FanDuel Sportsbook just posted an ad asking if Luther Burden was going to break out & be named Offensive Player of the Year in 2026?
$10 bet wins you a MILLION if he pulls it off.
As preposterous as this is… $10 to win a MILLION?
I spend a minimum of $10/wk on Powerball. Either way it’s money tossed in the trash.
My take?
I think, if healthy throughout the season, Luther improves on his numbers from ‘25. DJ Moore is no longer taking targets & I believe Odunze & Loveland split about 58% of those 65 touches, & Luther gets about 40% giving him, based on last year’s numbers, approximately 79 touches.
That’s what analytics tells you. Yes, that’s very basic analytics but that’s how it all started, & though I’ll admit it has advanced, doesn’t part of it still come down to gut feeling? I hope for your sake it does 🤠
Here’s what my gut is telling me…
I think Caleb throws the ball more this year. I think he runs less & throws more. So while I like where that basic analytic formula takes us, I think Luther’s touches are somewhere in the 90s. Rome missed some time so we really have no formula to go off of based on 12 games in Ben Johnson’s offense. That’s a lot of development time in 5 games. I think he has about 70 touches, but more yards & TDs. Loveland will do just fine with some more targets from the Moore leftovers plus fewer for Kmet. I’m in on all of them on Fantasy, Caleb included. I actually think they might slip a spot in the standings, just a feeling, but in the Fantasy World call me ‘Team Ben!’
But Luther for OPOTY?
C’mon Cuz.